SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Gillingham |
50.43% ( 0.33) | 23.54% ( -0.11) | 26.02% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( 0.32) | 43.63% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( 0.31) | 66.02% ( -0.31) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( 0.24) | 17.39% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.19% ( 0.43) | 47.81% ( -0.43) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% | 30.34% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.47% | 66.53% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Gillingham |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.85% Total : 50.43% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 26.02% |
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