SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
25.39% ( 0.23) | 23.28% ( 0.02) | 51.33% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.83% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.03% ( 0.09) | 42.97% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.63% ( 0.09) | 65.37% ( -0.09) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( 0.23) | 30.49% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.3% ( 0.27) | 66.7% ( -0.27) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% ( -0.06) | 16.81% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.22% ( -0.1) | 46.78% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.39% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
