Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.26%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
56.26% ( 0.05) | 21.84% ( -0.12) | 21.9% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 58.5% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( 0.64) | 40.12% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% ( 0.65) | 62.49% ( -0.65) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( 0.23) | 14.14% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.2% ( 0.45) | 41.79% ( -0.45) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.13% ( 0.42) | 31.87% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% ( 0.48) | 68.31% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 56.26% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 21.9% |
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