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SL
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
PA

Swansea
0 - 1
Plymouth


Cabango (22'), Cooper (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Whittaker (18')
Hazard (71'), Gyabi (76'), Miller (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Swansea
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

Swansea have conceded 11 goals in their last three matches and will not be looking forward to facing the attacking threat of Whittaker on Saturday afternoon. Plymouth seem to be getting closer to a first away success of the Championship term, but we feel that the Pilgrims will have to settle for a point in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.26%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
56.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 21.84% (-0.116 -0.12) 21.9% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 58.5% (0.516 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (0.636 0.64)40.12% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (0.654 0.65)62.49% (-0.652 -0.65)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (0.232 0.23)14.14% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2% (0.44900000000001 0.45)41.79% (-0.447 -0.45)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (0.419 0.42)31.87% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68% (0.478 0.48)68.31% (-0.476 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.26%
    Plymouth Argyle 21.9%
    Draw 21.83%
Swansea CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.029 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.15% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 21.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Swansea
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 5-0 Swansea
Thursday, January 25 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-3 Southampton
Saturday, January 20 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, January 6 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Sutton
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Watford
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship


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