SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
68.52% ( 0.62) | 17.84% ( -0.25) | 13.64% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.33) | 35.88% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.03% ( 0.36) | 57.97% ( -0.36) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.47% ( 0.24) | 9.53% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.07% ( 0.55) | 31.93% ( -0.55) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0.31) | 38.59% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( -0.3) | 75.33% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.34% Total : 68.52% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.84% | 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.64% |
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