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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
MN

Eswatini
0 - 3
Mozambique


Matse (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Domingues (11'), Ratifo (41'), Catamo (59')
Miguel Neves Santos (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Eswatini 1-1 Mozambique

Eswatini have struggled at the top end of the pitch of late, but we are backing them to register for a second game running here. That said, we can also see the teams cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.42%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
EswatiniDrawMozambique
33.44% (0.16 0.16) 29.63% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 36.93% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 43.03% (-0.159 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36% (-0.202 -0.2)63.99% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.82% (-0.144 -0.14)83.18% (0.143 0.14)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.57% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (-0.251 -0.25)33.21% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (-0.278 -0.28)69.82% (0.27799999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 33.44%
    Mozambique 36.93%
    Draw 29.63%
EswatiniDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 12.21% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 33.44%
1-1 @ 13.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.81% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.63%
0-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Mali
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-0 Eswatini
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Eswatini
Tuesday, July 2 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mozambique 0-0 Eswatini
Saturday, June 29 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eswatini 0-0 Botswana
Wednesday, June 26 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Eswatini
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 2-1 Guinea-Bissau
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 1-1 Mozambique
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 2-2 Mozambique (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mozambique 0-0 Namibia (2-4 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Botswana
Tuesday, July 2 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup


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