Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Colchester United |
43.92% (![]() | 26.23% (![]() | 29.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.64% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.33% (![]() | 52.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.69% (![]() | 74.31% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.15% (![]() | 23.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.97% (![]() | 58.03% (![]() |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.81% (![]() | 32.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.33% (![]() | 68.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.7% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.85% |
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