Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.09) 
