Given that this is a contest between the league's second-strongest home side and the joint-weakest away side, we believe Wimbledon are well-positioned for a straightforward victory.
Adding to their determination is the need to bounce back swiftly from their recent defeat, providing them with extra motivation to secure all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.13) 
