Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Swindon Town |
30.54% ( -0.02) | 26.22% ( 0) | 43.25% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.03% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.67% ( -0.02) | 52.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.98% ( -0.02) | 74.02% ( 0.02) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.49% ( -0.02) | 31.51% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.1% ( -0.03) | 67.9% ( 0.03) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( 0) | 24.03% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% ( 0) | 58.29% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.54% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.24% |
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