SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Scotland | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Switzerland | Draw | Spain |
27.84% ( -0.01) | 24.84% ( -0.01) | 47.32% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.02% ( 0.04) | 47.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.85% ( 0.04) | 70.15% ( -0.04) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( 0.02) | 31.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( 0.02) | 67.59% ( -0.02) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( 0.02) | 20.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.29% ( 0.04) | 52.71% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Switzerland | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.84% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.32% |
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