Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
