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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 38.36% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.11%) and 0-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
38.36% ( -0.18) | 23.04% ( 0.01) | 38.6% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 65.22% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.98% ( -0.05) | 36.02% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.88% ( -0.05) | 58.11% ( 0.04) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( -0.1) | 19.29% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( -0.16) | 51.04% ( 0.16) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.05) | 19.19% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.14% ( 0.09) | 50.86% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 38.6% |
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