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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.53%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
36.97% ( -0.36) | 23.3% ( 0.09) | 39.73% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 64.11% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.58% ( -0.47) | 37.42% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.36% ( -0.51) | 59.64% ( 0.51) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( -0.39) | 20.57% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.9% ( -0.61) | 53.1% ( 0.61) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( -0.08) | 19.28% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.99% ( -0.13) | 51.01% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.97% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 39.73% |
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