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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
29.99% ( -0.01) | 23.01% ( -0) | 46.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.63% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.68% ( 0.01) | 38.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.39% ( 0.01) | 60.6% ( -0.01) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% | 24.84% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( -0) | 59.44% ( -0) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( 0.01) | 16.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.47% ( 0.02) | 46.53% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.99% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 4.34% Total : 46.99% |
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