Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
