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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.8%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 22.19% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 3-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
57.8% ( -0.56) | 20.01% ( 0.06) | 22.19% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 65.72% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.1% ( 0.35) | 30.9% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.73% ( 0.41) | 52.27% ( -0.42) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.27% ( -0.04) | 10.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.33% ( -0.08) | 34.67% ( 0.08) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( 0.61) | 26.39% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.45% ( 0.8) | 61.54% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.33% Total : 57.8% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.01% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.99% Total : 22.19% |
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