SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Taunton Town | Draw | Bath City |
33.11% ( 0.1) | 24.84% ( -0.03) | 42.05% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.18) | 45.52% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( 0.17) | 67.85% ( -0.17) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( 0.15) | 26.44% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( 0.2) | 61.61% ( -0.2) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( 0.04) | 21.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% ( 0.06) | 54.79% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Taunton Town | Draw | Bath City |
| 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 33.12% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.05% |
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