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National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
3 - 0
Taunton Town

Thomas (57'), Wilson (78'), Greenslade (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Bath City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Hampton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawTaunton Town
42.46% (0.239 0.24) 25.42% (-0.02 -0.02) 32.12% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 55.27% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.44% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (0.119 0.12)22.71% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (0.17899999999999 0.18)56.38% (-0.184 -0.18)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (-0.146 -0.15)28.48% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.74% (-0.18 -0.18)64.26% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 42.46%
    Taunton Town 32.12%
    Draw 25.42%
Bath CityDrawTaunton Town
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.46%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Bath City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Hampton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-3 Taunton Town
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South


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