SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Taunton Town |
42.46% ( 0.24) | 25.42% ( -0.02) | 32.12% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( 0.01) | 48.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( 0) | 70.57% ( -0.01) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( 0.12) | 22.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% ( 0.18) | 56.38% ( -0.18) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( -0.15) | 28.48% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.74% ( -0.18) | 64.26% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Taunton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.12% |
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