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National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
2 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Dyer (16'), Wilson (68')
Smith (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Farnborough
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
50.77% (-5.037 -5.04) 24.01% (0.872 0.87) 25.21% (4.158 4.16)
Both teams to score 55.16% (2.282 2.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59% (0.573 0.57)46.4% (-0.577 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31% (0.535 0.54)68.69% (-0.53999999999999 -0.54)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-1.647 -1.65)18.3% (1.641 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.61% (-2.868 -2.87)49.39% (2.863 2.86)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (4.07 4.07)32.47% (-4.074 -4.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (4.335 4.34)68.99% (-4.34 -4.34)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 50.77%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 25.21%
    Draw 24.01%
Bath CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-0 @ 8.57% (-1.209 -1.21)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.424 -0.42)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.99 -0.99)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.318 -0.32)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.557 -0.56)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 50.77%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.467 0.47)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.556 0.56)
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.856 0.86)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.675 0.68)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.539 0.54)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.37 0.37)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.375 0.38)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 25.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Farnborough
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-2 Bath City
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-2 Braintree
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Truro City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-1 St Albans City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-4 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-2 Weston
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 4-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League South


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