SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
50.77% ( -5.04) | 24.01% ( 0.87) | 25.21% ( 4.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( 2.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( 0.57) | 46.4% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.31% ( 0.54) | 68.69% ( -0.54) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( -1.65) | 18.3% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.61% ( -2.87) | 49.39% ( 2.86) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( 4.07) | 32.47% ( -4.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% ( 4.34) | 68.99% ( -4.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.82) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 8.57% ( -1.21)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.42)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.99)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.56)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 50.77% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.86)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.68)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.54)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.37)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.38)Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.21% |
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