SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.71%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 6.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 1-2 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Airdrieonians |
80.71% ( 0.53) | 12.38% ( -0.15) | 6.91% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( -1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.07% ( -0.86) | 29.92% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.9% ( -1.04) | 51.1% ( 1.05) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.33% ( -0.07) | 5.66% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.08% ( -0.22) | 21.92% ( 0.22) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.68% ( -1.66) | 47.31% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.28% ( -1.27) | 82.72% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.37)2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.34)4-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.39% Total : 80.71% | 1-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.85% Total : 12.38% | 1-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 6.91% |
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