Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.67%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 0-4 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.54%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-8 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | The New Saints |
5.31% (![]() | 10.01% (![]() | 84.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.76% (![]() | 24.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.08% (![]() | 43.92% (![]() |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.62% (![]() | 47.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.23% (![]() | 82.77% (![]() |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.02% (![]() | 3.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.19% (![]() | 16.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town | Draw | The New Saints |
2-1 @ 1.7% (![]() 1-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 2.21% Total : 5.31% | 1-1 @ 4.54% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.85% Total : 10.01% | 0-3 @ 10.53% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.8% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 8.49% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-7 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 1-7 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 4.35% Total : 84.67% |
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