SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
15.66% ( -0.25) | 17.53% ( -0.12) | 66.8% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.36% ( 0.07) | 29.63% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.24% ( 0.08) | 50.75% ( -0.08) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( -0.25) | 31.87% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% ( -0.28) | 68.31% ( 0.28) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.73% ( 0.1) | 8.27% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.12% ( 0.24) | 28.87% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 15.66% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 17.53% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.78% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.8% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.24% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.77% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 66.8% |
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