SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Arbroath |
80.73% ( -0.06) | 12.38% ( 0.15) | 6.89% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.94% ( -1.31) | 30.06% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.73% ( -1.6) | 51.27% ( 1.6) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.31% ( -0.27) | 5.69% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.01% ( -0.78) | 21.99% ( 0.78) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.51% ( -1.29) | 47.49% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.15% ( -0.98) | 82.85% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.46) 3-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.44)4-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.1)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.1)Other @ 4.36% Total : 80.72% | 1-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.84% Total : 12.38% | 1-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.73% Total : 6.89% |
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