Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Airdrieonians |
52.04% ( 4.11) | 22.89% ( -0.68) | 25.06% ( -3.43) |
Both teams to score 58.79% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.46% ( 0.37) | 41.54% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.06% ( 0.37) | 63.94% ( -0.37) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.97% ( 1.65) | 16.03% ( -1.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.62% ( 2.94) | 45.38% ( -2.94) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.01% ( -2.34) | 29.99% ( 2.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.9% ( -2.92) | 66.1% ( 2.92) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Airdrieonians |
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.72) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.68) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.35) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.41) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.5% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.62) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.5) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.33) Other @ 3.09% Total : 25.06% |
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