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Scottish Challenge Cup | Semi-Finals
Feb 2, 2024 at 7.40pm UK
Stark's Park
A

Raith Rovers
0 - 1
Airdrieonians


Rudden (2'), Easton (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Todorov (6')
Telfer (11'), McCabe (76'), McCabe (76')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Semi-Finals clash between Raith Rovers and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Partick
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Raith RoversDrawAirdrieonians
52.04% (4.109 4.11) 22.89% (-0.678 -0.68) 25.06% (-3.429 -3.43)
Both teams to score 58.79% (-0.771 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (0.371 0.37)41.54% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (0.374 0.37)63.94% (-0.371 -0.37)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (1.654 1.65)16.03% (-1.651 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62% (2.941 2.94)45.38% (-2.939 -2.94)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-2.341 -2.34)29.99% (2.344 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-2.915 -2.92)66.1% (2.919 2.92)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 52.04%
    Airdrieonians 25.06%
    Draw 22.89%
Raith RoversDrawAirdrieonians
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.269 0.27)
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.331 0.33)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.718 0.72)
3-1 @ 5.92% (0.472 0.47)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.678 0.68)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.349 0.35)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.414 0.41)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.115 0.12)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 52.04%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.617 -0.62)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.495 -0.5)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.553 -0.55)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.437 -0.44)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.332 -0.33)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-3 Inverness
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Raith Rovers
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Raith Rovers
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-2 Arbroath
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Partick
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 Inverness
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-2 Airdrieonians
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 0-0 Morton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship


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