Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
We said: The New Saints 1-1 Petrocub Hincesti (Petrocub win 2-1 on aggregate)
Sparks have not flown in matches involving Petrocub so far this season, as the White-Blacks have scored just three goals while conceding two in their five matches in 2024-25, suggesting that another low-key affair is on the cards in Wales.
Harrison's men should at least breach their visitors' backline with the home crowd behind them, but we expect the Moldovan champions to strike back and move 180 minutes away from the Europa League league stage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 73.82%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 10.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Petrocub Hincesti win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result |
| The New Saints | Draw | Petrocub Hincesti |
73.82% ( 0) | 15.55% ( -0) | 10.62% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( -0.01) |
| 67.19% ( -0) | 32.81% ( 0) |
| 45.49% ( -0) | 54.5% |
| 92.4% ( -0) | 7.6% |
