SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Union had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Union |
41.27% ( 0.05) | 29.1% ( 0.01) | 29.62% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.41% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.95% ( -0.05) | 63.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.49% ( -0.04) | 82.5% ( 0.05) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% | 30.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% | 66.23% ( 0) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.1% ( -0.08) | 37.9% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.32% ( -0.08) | 74.67% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.98% 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.39% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.09% | 0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 29.62% |
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