SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Togo had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.
| Result | ||
| Togo | Draw | Algeria |
29.62% ( -0.04) | 28.34% ( -0.02) | 42.04% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.41% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.44% ( 0.05) | 60.56% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.34% ( 0.04) | 80.66% ( -0.04) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0) | 36.54% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.67% | 73.32% ( -0) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( 0.06) | 28.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% ( 0.07) | 64.2% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Togo | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.61% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 42.03% |
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