SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 35.91%. A win for Togo had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Togo | Draw | Libya |
35.45% ( -0.23) | 28.64% ( 0.06) | 35.91% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.42% ( -0.2) | 60.58% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.32% ( -0.15) | 80.68% ( 0.15) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( -0.25) | 32.4% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( -0.29) | 68.91% ( 0.28) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% ( 0) | 32.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% ( 0.01) | 68.58% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Togo | Draw | Libya |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.45% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.9% |
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