SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 11.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | South Africa |
69.01% ( 0.03) | 19.23% ( -0.02) | 11.76% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.88% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( 0.03) | 46.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( 0.03) | 69.23% ( -0.03) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% ( 0.02) | 12.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.5% ( 0.04) | 38.5% ( -0.04) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.3% ( -0.01) | 48.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.26% ( -0.01) | 83.74% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Algeria | Draw | South Africa |
| 2-0 @ 13.16% 1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.97% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 69.01% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.23% | 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.28% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 11.76% |
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