SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Togo | Draw | Liberia |
49.25% ( 0.21) | 27.83% ( -0.14) | 22.92% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 42.05% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.6% ( 0.4) | 62.4% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.97% ( 0.29) | 82.03% ( -0.29) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.29) | 25.6% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( 0.39) | 60.49% ( -0.39) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.52% ( 0.16) | 43.48% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.31% ( 0.14) | 79.69% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Togo | Draw | Liberia |
| 1-0 @ 15.16% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.99% Total : 49.24% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1% Total : 22.92% |
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