FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Tonbridge Angels and Harborough Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Harborough Town |
42.82% ( 5.01) | 24.09% ( -0.97) | 33.09% ( -4.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.26% ( 2.73) |
| 57.91% ( 3.87) | 42.08% ( -3.87) |
| 35.51% ( 3.77) | 64.48% ( -3.77) |
| 80.13% ( 4.1) | 19.86% ( -4.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.03% ( 6.23) | 51.97% ( -6.23) |
| 75.19% ( -0.47) | 24.8% ( 0.47) |
