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National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
3 - 2
Tonbridge Angels

Young (40'), Fall (57'), Wheeler (63')
Young (90+9'), Rea (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bakrin (22'), Robinson (65')
Hinds (57'), Nelson (66'), Robinson (69'), Steward (73'), Leighton (86'), Santos (86'), Fielding (90+9')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Tonbridge Angels.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawTonbridge Angels
49.34%23.04%27.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 60.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)40.03% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.4% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.13% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.29% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.72% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 49.34%
    Tonbridge Angels 27.62%
    Draw 23.04%
WorthingDrawTonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 49.34%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 27.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth P 0-4 Worthing
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Welling United
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 0-2 Maidstone
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-1 Dartford
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Worthing
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cray Wanderers 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Slough 3-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Walton & Hersham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Hampton
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Merstham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South


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