Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 27.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
