Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 2-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (12.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
