SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
59.87% ( -0.05) | 22.73% ( 0.03) | 17.39% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% ( -0.08) | 50.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% ( -0.07) | 72.29% ( 0.07) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( -0.05) | 16.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( -0.09) | 46.12% ( 0.08) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.02) | 42.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.08% ( -0.02) | 78.91% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 59.87% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 17.39% |
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