Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.