SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Torquay United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Worthing |
44.27% ( 0.26) | 23.35% ( -0.01) | 32.37% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.22% ( -0.06) | 38.78% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.91% ( -0.07) | 61.09% ( 0.07) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( 0.08) | 17.9% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.29% ( 0.14) | 48.7% ( -0.14) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.17) | 23.64% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( -0.26) | 57.73% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.37% |
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