Sitting back and waiting for the right moment to strike should not be the approach Toulouse take on Thursday evening, where the French side must go for broke lest they exit the Europa League with a whimper.
Such tactics will inevitably leave space for the red-hot attacking unit of Benfica to exploit, though, and with Les Violets also enduring a woeful stretch of home form, the Portuguese champions should make lightning strike twice to reach the last 16.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
-0) 
0) 
