Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
22.48% (![]() | 23.8% (![]() | 53.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.74% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.87% (![]() | 48.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% (![]() | 70.28% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.19% (![]() | 35.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.42% (![]() | 72.58% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% (![]() | 17.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.41% (![]() | 48.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.56% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.9% Total : 22.48% | 1-1 @ 11.3% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 11.01% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 3.53% Total : 53.71% |
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