With their penchant for profligacy in the Europa League well-documented, Union SG will struggle to fight fire with fire on Toulouse's turf, where Les Violets have only been beaten in one of their last nine competitive matches. A closely-fought contest should still be in store, as was the case in September, but the return of a well-rested Dallinga should give Toulouse the extra attacking edge required to get over the line and ensure a top-two finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Union SG
32.12% ( 0.01)	24.92%	42.96% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77% (

0.01)

46.24% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.47% (

0.01)

68.53% (

-0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.6% (

0.01)

27.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.13% (

0.01)

62.88% (

-0.01)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

21.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.4% (

-0)

54.61% (

Score Analysis

Toulouse 32.12%

Union SG 42.97%

Draw 24.92%

Toulouse	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.12%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.92%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.97%