SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
34.03% ( 0.4) | 25.05% ( -0.07) | 40.91% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 57.14% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( 0.43) | 46.28% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( 0.4) | 68.57% ( -0.4) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( 0.45) | 26.24% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.65% ( 0.59) | 61.35% ( -0.59) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( 0.03) | 22.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.89% ( 0.04) | 56.11% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.27% Total : 34.03% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.91% |
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