SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
39.02% ( 0.12) | 24.84% ( -0.03) | 36.14% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( 0.12) | 44.98% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( 0.12) | 67.33% ( -0.12) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( 0.11) | 22.9% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( 0.17) | 56.66% ( -0.16) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( 0.01) | 24.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.14% ( 0.01) | 58.85% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.14% |
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