Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
40.86% ( 0.03) | 26.89% ( -0) | 32.25% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.59% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.52% ( 0) | 54.48% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.16% ( 0) | 75.84% ( -0) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( 0.02) | 26.22% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.68% ( 0.02) | 61.33% ( -0.02) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.58% ( -0.02) | 31.42% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.2% ( -0.02) | 67.8% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.86% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.25% |
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