Tranmere have been on a really poor run of form, but they are above Crawley in the table and have enough quality to secure a narrow victory on home soil.
Crawley have not won away all season and lost in disappointing style against Hartlepool last time out, so they are likely to come away empty-handed again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
1.02) 
-0.41) 
