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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 41%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Torquay United |
33.42% ( -3.1) | 25.58% ( 0.07) | 41% ( 3.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.23% ( -0.78) | 48.77% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.71) | 70.87% ( 0.71) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -2.21) | 27.82% ( 2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( -2.92) | 63.41% ( 2.91) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.42% ( 1.23) | 23.58% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.35% ( 1.74) | 57.64% ( -1.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.67)1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.43)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.01% Total : 41% |
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