Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.