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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 0
Como

Brenner (43')
Bijol (68'), Zemura (90+1'), Zemura (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fabregas i Soler (69'), Fabregas i Soler (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Como
Monday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-0 Como

Having made a good start to life under new management, Udinese are favourites to prevail in their first league meeting with Como for over two decades. Confident from toppling Lazio with 10 men, the Fruilani should hold promoted opponents at bay and add another three points to their tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Como had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
UdineseDrawComo
44.82% (0.825 0.82) 26.51% (-0.151 -0.15) 28.67% (-0.674 -0.67)
Both teams to score 50.14% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.7% (0.26600000000001 0.27)54.3% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.31% (0.222 0.22)75.69% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.521 0.52)24.12% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (0.738 0.74)58.43% (-0.736 -0.74)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (-0.373 -0.37)33.92% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4% (-0.405 -0.41)70.6% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 44.82%
    Como 28.67%
    Draw 26.51%
UdineseDrawComo
1-0 @ 11.63% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.087000000000002 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Udinese 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Udinese
Sunday, August 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 4-0 Avellino
Friday, August 9 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Aris Limassol
Wednesday, July 31 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Konyaspor
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 2
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Como
Monday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-0 Como
Monday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Como (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 11 at 7.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Como 0-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 3 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Como 0-1 Al-Hilal
Monday, July 29 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Como
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3


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