Having been kept afloat by their home form last season, Cagliari will be relying on beating fellow safety-hunters on Sardinian soil. They can do so on this occasion, as Como could take time to settle in Serie A and look vulnerable at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Como
36.03% ( 0.01)	27.87% ( -0)	36.11% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.2% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.25% (

0.01)

57.75% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.51% (

78.49% (

-0)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

0.01)

30.59% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17% (

0.01)

66.83% (

-0.01)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

-0)

30.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

-0)

66.77% (

Score Analysis

Cagliari 36.02%

Como 36.1%

Draw 27.86%

Cagliari	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.02%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.86%	0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.1%