Bologna may find themselves frustrated by last season's stalemate specialists, as Udinese have retained their key players and already have a competitive game under their belts: few teams have left the Dall'Ara with maximum points in recent months, so a low-scoring draw could be the outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.59) 
0.24) 
