SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 41.35%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (6.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.28%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Banfield |
41.35% ( 0.04) | 32.27% ( 0.12) | 26.38% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 34.81% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.35% ( -0.33) | 72.65% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.12% ( -0.2) | 88.88% ( 0.2) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.16) | 35.15% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.1% ( -0.17) | 71.9% ( 0.17) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.68% ( -0.35) | 46.32% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.04% ( -0.27) | 81.96% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 17.02% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.35% | 0-0 @ 16.28% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 32.26% | 0-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.38% |
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